Welcome back to You Win Or You Die, The A.V. Club’s weekly dead pool where we place our bets on who we think will die in this week’s Game Of Thrones episode. Every week, the talented and genial Benjamin Eckstein, oddsmaker and owner of America’s Line, provides the odds. We can also place “prophecies for profit” bets, which carry throughout the season. At the end of the season, one A.V. Club staffer will pay off the Iron Bank with their fake Westerosi bucks and sit on the nonexistent Iron Throne. As always, you can play along at home via the TV Deadpool site.
It’s finale week, and almost everyone’s in play. Eckstein The Oddsmaker said all the major characters—Jaime, Jon, Cersei, etc.—are here to stay, so we’re leaning harder on the B-characters this week. Plus, we’ve got some odds on several Prophecies For Profit.
Here are this week’s odds:
2-1 The Mountain
Eckstein the oddsmaker says: It looks like CleganeBowl is coming, and I think the zombies lose.
The A.V. Club says: Can you kill a dead guy?
Eckstein the oddsmaker says: He’s just so sleazy. Someone has to kill him.
The A.V. Club says: It all depends on whether Arya’s on to him. So far, it doesn’t look like she is, but she’s also proven herself to be a talented actress.
10-1 Yara Greyjoy
Eckstein the oddsmaker says: They need to bring her back and kill her already, for crying out loud.
The A.V. Club says: For real. Where is Yara?
20-1 The Hound
Eckstein the oddsmaker says: We think he’s going to win, so long odds on The Hound.
The A.V. Club says: It does feel like there’s still more to The Hound’s story.
Eckstein the oddsmaker says: She could be in trouble, because Arya’s pissed.
The A.V. Club says: If Sansa’s going to die, it’s going to be her own fault.
8-1 The Field: Qyburn, Varys, Jorah Mormont, Greyworm, Bronn, Melisandre, Davos, Beric, Tormund Giantsbane, Brienne Of Tarth, Euron Greyjoy
Prophecies for profit:
Note: Bets placed here stay active throughout the course of the show.
5-1 Jon will slay the ice dragon.
Eckstein the oddsmaker says: It might not happen this week, but it’ll happen eventually.
The A.V. Club says: But it’s Daenerys’ kid, and he’s trying to woo her!
10-1 The Wall comes down
Eckstein the oddsmaker says: It’s lasted for years, but George R.R. Martin will do some strange shit.
The A.V. Club says: It would be a dramatic ending to the season.
25-1 Bran is the Night King
Eckstein the oddsmaker says: I’m just throwing out some fun prophecies for the final episode.
The A.V. Club says: It’s a popular theory online for a reason.
100-1 This week, we’ll have Red Wedding 2. Everyone gets destroyed, and there is no season eight.
Eckstein the oddsmaker says: I’ve finally gone off the rails. Maybe I’ve been touched by the Night King.
The A.V. Club says: Not gonna happen.
Previous prophecies for profit that are still in play:
2-1 The Hound emerges victorious in CleganeBowl.
5-1 The Mountain emerges victorious in CleganeBowl.
10-1 Someone else wins CleganeBowl.
3-1 Jon Snow and Daenerys Targaryen will sit on the throne together at the end of the series.
Over/under on episodes in which Cersei remains on the Iron Throne: 8.5.
Over/under on how many episodes until Jon Snow’s true parentage is revealed to him: 5.5. [Note: Nope!]
4-5 Jaime Lannister kills Cersei
2-1 Arya kills Cersei
8-1 Tyrion Lannister kills Cersei
6-5 Anyone else kills Cersei
6-5 Drogon dies from poison absorbed through his arrow wound
3-1 Euron is the father of Cersei’s baby
5-1 Jaime is the father of Cersei’s baby
10-1 The Mountain is the father of Cersei’s baby
100-1 Cersei has a dragon baby
Over/Under on total deaths of named characters this week: 4.5
Our picks this week are:
Emi Tolibas ($2,754 Westerosi bucks in the bank): $500 on Littlefinger, $20 on the field, $500 on the Under.
Leo Garcia ($985): $100 on The Mountain, $100 on Littlefinger, $100 on The Hound, $100 the wall comes down, $100 on the field, $100 on the under. “No guts, no glory! Though let’s be honest, I’m never gonna catch Emi.”
Grace Thomas ($120): $50 on the wall coming down, $10 on Yara, $15 on Littlefinger, $15 on the field, and $10 on the under.
Danette Chavez ($115): $5 on Littlefinger, $5 on the wall, $5 on the field, $5 on the under.
Caity PenzeyMoog ($101): $30 on Littlefinger, $20 on The Mountain, $20 on the field.
Karl Blomberg ($100): $20 on the wall coming down, $20 on the field, $20 on the under.
Kristi-Lynn Jacovino ($82): $20 on Littlefinger, $25 on the wall, $7 on the field.
Marah Eakin ($80): $60 on the field, $10 on the wall, $10 on The Hound.
Alex McLevy ($3): $3 on Bran being the Night King.